Start Your Sunday Right
We are going to make this easy for you. We have combed through the player props for the Sunday and Monday games this week. Take a peek at the props Dan and Tony have laid out for week five. Be sure to follow along as we maneuver through this week’s picks!
Odds for these player props are from Bet MGM taken on 10/8. Remember, we are not financial advisors. Bet responsibly and at your own risk.
The Early Window
Tony’s Pick: Terry McLaurin O/U 5.5 Receptions – Over +105
The man nicknamed “Scary Terry” has been scary indeed, for opposing defenses, that is. Already coming into this week’s game with 25 catches and 354 yards, the former Ohio State Buckeye will be looking to add to his impressive numbers with another big performance versus the New Orleans Saints.
This squad, who looked like world-beaters week one, have since regressed to being a middle of the pack team in the NFL. Ever since Taylor Heinicke took over, McLaurin has looked like a potential MVP candidate. Locked on as a starter in most yards fantasy lineups; expect more of the same to continue this week and throughout the rest of the 2021 NFL season. Take the over.
Dan’s Pick: Derrick Henry O/U 116.5 Rushing Yards – Over -115
This Sunday, the Tennessee Titans & Derrick Henry travel to Jacksonville, home of the 0-4 Jaguars. The league’s leading rusher, Derrick Henry, is averaging 127.5 yards per game and 4.5 yards per carry. Henry is leading the league in this category by a mile. The Jacksonville Jags allow around 106 rushing yards per game, but they haven’t played Henry yet. The over will hit.
Tony’s Pick: Trey Lance Rushing TD +175
Making his first career start on Sunday, Lance will face the most challenging task of the season in trying to dethrone Kyler Murray and the undefeated Arizona Cardinals. He was used mainly in a power-back role while playing the quarterback position; all eyes seemingly point to him, adding another rushing touchdown to his stats. Although only time will tell if the former North Dakota State quarterback can genuinely make an impact on the big show, as far as this week is concerned, he’s one of my safest prop bets.
Dan’s Pick: Kyler Murray Rushing TD +110
I am taking the other side here and picking Murray. The Arizona Cardinals are undefeated and show no signs of slowing down. Kyler Murray is the MVP front-runner, and it is all due to his versatility. The man has been solid passing, but he has also cashed in a rushing TD in three out of four games this year. The odds are in his favor. Give this one a look and lock it in against the division-rival 49ers.
Sunday Night: Bills At Chiefs
Tony’s Pick: Tyreek Hill O/U 88.5 Receiving Yards – Over
The Cheetah has finally regained his speed. After a bang to open the season with almost 200 yards versus the Cleveland Browns, a couple of rare performances followed. But last Sunday in Philadelphia, Hill put the NFL world back on notice with a fantastic 11 catch performance to go along with 186 yards and three touchdowns in a 42-30 Kansas City Chiefs win.
Expect more of the same as his team hosts the Buffalo Bills on Sunday night. No matter who you put on Tyreek Hill or how you decide to guard him, whether it be man or zone coverage, Patrick Mahomes is going to get him the football one way or another.
Dan’s Pick: Zack Moss TD +180
Zack Moss of the Buffalo Bills has been underrated this year. Moss has scored three rushing TDs, and he caught one of them as well. The best part, he has scored those four TDs in just three games. Not a game has gone by without Moss scoring a TD, and with Buffalo coming to KC, there is a good chance he will get another one. The Chiefs’ defense has allowed more scores in the red zone than any other defense and has allowed the most rushing TDs in the league as well. Lock this one in.
Monday Night Football: Colts At Ravens
Tony’s Pick: First TD – Ravens Rushing TD -200
Off the back of yet another 100+ yard performance that tied the NFL record for consecutive games with at least 100 yards rushing, the Baltimore Ravens are riding high at 3-1. They are tied with both the Cincinnati Bengals and Cleveland Browns atop the AFC North Division. Without a doubt, I expect Baltimore and Lamar Jackson to continue running the ball down people’s throats, continuing with the Indianapolis Colts.
Dan’ Pick: Lamar Jackson O/U 61.5 Rushing Yards – Under -115
Lamar Jackson may be tough to bet against, but trust me on this one. Lamar Jackson’s rushing attempts have dropped the last two games to just seven per, and he has averaged just 43 rushing yards per game. The Colts have a stout front seven, so I would expect a result similar to the one we saw against Denver.
Prop Lock Of The Week
Tony’s Pick: Tom Brady O/U 2.5 Passing TDs – Over +105
Facing a Miami Dolphins defense that has given up 27 or more points in their last three contests, the ageless Tom Brady should have a field day while bouncing back. Especially after a couple of average performances versus the Los Angeles Rams and his former New England Patriots. With superstar targets like Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Antonio Brown, the Tampa Bay Bucs should have no trouble slicing up a Dolphins defense that has looked bad versus lesser competition. Teams like the Colts and even better teams like the Las Vegas Raiders and Buffalo Bills.
Dan’s Pick: Damien Harris O/U 70.5 Rushig Yards – Under -118
Damien Harris of the New England Patriots has been on the downside of things the last two weeks. Including a complete shutdown performance from the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, where he lost four yards on the night. The week before that, he had just 14 yards on his six totes. You do the math, which equals ten yards on his ten carries over his last two games. Out of four weeks, he has eclipsed the 70-yard mark just once, and that was week one. Attempts are down, yards are down, not a good sign, even with an easy matchup against the Texans.
Daniel Portillo and Tony Battalio were contributors to this article.