Clyde Edwards-Helaire is entering his second year in the NFL on one of the premier teams in the NFL. The Kansas City Chiefs are a great team in real life. Their core of skill guys, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire are also great fantasy players. However, CEH is currently being undervalued based on his ADP.
Currently, CEH has an ADP of RB14.
Last year the Chiefs finished sixth in the NFL in points per game, with 28.5 points per game. That was only three points per game behind the league-leading Green Bay Packers. In fantasy, you clearly want players from teams that are scoring a lot of points. Touchdowns are crucial in fantasy and the Chiefs score them in bunches.
Kareem Hunt finished as the 10th ranked RB in fantasy in PPR scoring. He finished the year with an average of 13.5 fantasy points per game. CEH finished the year as RB22. His fantasy points per game average? 13.2.
There are a lot of factors that have changed in Kansas City that have to lead to CEH being in an even more favorable situation than last year.
For one, Le’ Veon Bell is no longer on the roster.
From week eight until the end of the regular season, Bell average almost 7.5 touches per game. Now, granted, these numbers are slightly inflated because CEH missed some time in there. However, the point still stands that even when CEH was healthy, Bell was eating into his workload.
Additionally, the Chiefs finished the year as the 31st team in the NFL in win block rate. This specifically hurt them in short-yardage and goal-line situations.
Last year, CEH had 24 rushes inside the ten-yard line. In those 24 rushes, he only scored two touchdowns. Just as a point of reference, that is less than Jared Goff.
The Chiefs went out this offseason and completely revamped their entire offensive line. They traded for Orlando Brown Jr. from the Ravens, signed free agent Joe Thuney from the Patriots, and drafted Creed Humphrey and Trey Smith. Their line is going to be considerably better in 2021. This is going to lead to more efficiency when running inside the 10 and more touchdowns for Edwards-Helaire.
The Chiefs have been very vocal this offseason about getting him more involved in the passing game.
During his tenure at LSU Edwards-Helaire was known for his ability to catch passes out of the backfield. His last year with the Tigers he amassed 55 catches for 453 yards. After Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, there is no real receiving threat. CEH could be the next guy in line for targets. In PPR settings this makes him even more valuable.
Darrell Williams will still have a role in the Kansas City offense. He will get some touches on third down and short-yardage situations. The Chiefs want Edwards-Helaire to be the guy, though.
CEH will not only finish inside the top 10 RBs next year for fantasy points but has a real opportunity to slip inside the top five.
Looking at this simply, he plays in a great offense, he has a good offensive line, he is going to be involved in the passing game and there is no one there to vulture touches.
You better start getting your CEH shares while you still can get value on him. Good Luck!
For more Fantasy news, analysis, and talk check out The Ballin’ Over Beers YouTube Show: