For this article, I am going to be making picks for my favorite GPP plays on the Week One main slate on Draftkings. It will be important to track ownership percentage as we get closer to the Sunday kickoff. Ownership is one of the best ways to create leverage for yourself against these giant fields.
Another thing I highly recommend is placing a high-priced player from the late games in your flex position. If you do this, you will be able to utilize a late swap option.
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A late swap can be a great way to turn a losing week into a winning week. Additionally, it could be a way to ensure that you stay cashing if you already are. If you are not cashing and the player in your flex is going to be highly owned, you can swap them out for a low-owned player to gain leverage on the field and give yourself a chance to cash. Or, you can keep a player there if you are happy with your current placement and don’t think you need to swap them out.
If you are looking for an audio version of this info be sure to check out the Ballin’ Over Beers: A fantasy and betting show on the Border Fuel Sports YouTube page. If you are into betting you can also find our show at the same place.
Disclaimer: We are not financial advisors. Bet at YOUR OWN RISK!!
Patrick Mahomes $8,100
Mahomes is the best quarterback in football and is priced as such. His performances in September and week 1 since he was named starter are out of this world. I don’t care about his price, he is my main priority at QB. Another thing to keep an eye on is the Chiefs’ defense could be missing Tyrann Mathieu, which could turn this game into more of a shootout.
Sam Darnold $5,000
One of the possible value options at quarterback in Sam Darnold. Darnold is facing off with his former team. The Panthers have a ton of weapons around Darnold in DJ Moore, Robbie Anderson, Terrace Marshall Jr., and Christian McCaffrey. The Jets defense isn’t anything to write home about either. They were 21st in DVOA last season and have a new head coach and coordinator this year. If you are looking to jam in some of the more expensive options at RB, Darnold provides some great salary relief.
Dalvin Cook $9,100
You can make an argument for all of the top-priced running backs on this slate. Truthfully, I will be trying to play them all in some capacity. Cook has a great matchup with the Cincinnati Bengals this week, however. He is truly one of the few ‘bell cow’ RBs left in the NFL at this point. Last year the Bengals finished 21st in rush DVOA for the season. The volume Cook should be expecting makes him an excellent play, even at his price.
Najee Harris $6,300
Harris is simply too cheap. Throughout Mike Tomlin’s tenure as head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers, he has shown he believes in having one RB carry the load. They drafted Harris early in the 2021 draft to do just that. He is around $2,000 cheaper than guys like Cook and Christian McCaffrey but could see the same amount of volume. He is one of my favorite plays on the entire slate.
Tyreek Hill $8,200
If I love Patrick Mahomes, I have to love his top WR. Hill is one of the most dynamic athletes, at any position, in the NFL. Hill is projecting out as one of the top two best plays at the WR position on the week. Averaging nine targets a game last year, there is no reason to believe he won’t do the same this year. Additionally, he is a big play waiting to happen. He has the ability to completely break the slate. Think about the game he had against the Bucs in the regular season.
Corey Davis $4,900
The NYJ signed Davis to a massive contract this offseason. Even with that, he has been flying under the radar. Most of the hype has gone to rookie wide receiver Elijah Moore. However, if you watched any of the pre-season, Davis is the clear number one on this roster. He and rookie QB Zach Wilson built good chemistry and Davis looked great in his new role. He provides some salary relief at his price tag.
Truthfully, he is too cheap for being a team’s WR1. Additionally, Keelan Cole and Jamison Crowder are both questionable for Sunday, making him an even better option.
George Kittle $6,300
Tight end is one of the worst positions to deal with in fantasy football. I am going to focus on guys like Travis Kelce, Darren Waller, and Kittle throughout the year whenever I can. Their price tag is going to make it difficult, but worth it. The 49ers could be a sneaky team to stack or play as one-offs as they face off the Detroit Lions. They are big favorites in the game, and their best offensive weapon is Kittle. If I am not playing Kelce this week, I am playing Kittle.
As a general rule, I usually just play whichever defense fits in my lineup. They are just too unpredictable. Things to consider when choosing a defense:
- Number of passes expected by the offensive opponent in the game- we want opponents that are going to throw a lot
- Is the team a good pass rushing team?
- How well does the opponent pass block?
These basic things should be considered because passing leads to sacks and turnovers. These are the ways defenses score in DFS. Two lower-cost teams, I am considering at the Atlanta Falcons and the Tennessee Titans.
Make sure to check out the Ballin’ Over Beers: A fantasy and betting show on the Border Fuel Sports YouTube page. You can also find us on Twitter @BallinOver and me @jdiz1617.
Good luck this week everyone! Someone go win a milly!