Oct
27
2020

Edge Factor: Bermuda Championship DFS

The PGA heads to Southampton, Bermuda, and Port Royal Golf Club this week after a stop in Los Angeles last week. Last week saw Patrick Cantlay takedown to the Zozo after fending off Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas down the stretch. The course and field this week will prove to be very different than Sherwood Country Club.

Port Royal Golf Club is a Par 71, 6800 yard, Bermuda green course. The distance jumps off the page because it is so short. The par 71 includes only three par 5’s, which are all very gettable, and six par 4’s from 350-400 yards.

Last year’s winner, Brendan Todd, is back to defend his title and isn’t going to be squaring off against any of the top names in the game. Will Zalatoris is the next most expensive player in the field after Todd and the most noticeable name is Henrik Stenson at $9,300. The field is back to around 130 players and there will be a cut after not having one the past few weeks.

High-End Play(s):

Doc Redman: $10,400
Redman is one of five players priced higher than ten thousand dollars. He comes in 4th in my model in the last 36 rounds and it is all because of ball striking. He has not lost OTT or APP in the last three rounds. In his last six events, he has two 3rd place finishes, two missed cuts, and two top 30’s. His ball-striking is almost always solid and his finishes really depend on whether or not he can just be ok putting. He is a neutral putter on Bermuda, so hopefully, he can gain just a little with his ball-striking and find himself in the winners’ circle this week.

Mid Range Play(s):

Scott Piercy: $8,500
Piercy is coming off a 19th place finish at the Shriners the last time we saw him. He did all of his damage through his ball-striking, which is normal for him. He is not a great putter but always seems to perform well at shorter Bermuda courses. He gained an incredible 7.1 strokes through APP at Shriners. He also has gained OTT and on APP in two straight events.

Luke List: $8,400
Like Piercy, List is another guy that seems to play well at shorter Bermuda courses. Usually a great ball striker he has struggled on APP in the last two events. He needs to get that figured out and matched up with his OTT game where he has gained in three straight measurable events. This is a field he should be able to take advantage of.

Pat Perez: $8,000
Two missed cuts in a row, but that is mostly because of a cold putter. He is back in Bermuda which he prefers. Perez has been striking it great. He has gained OTT in the last four measurable rounds and on APP in the last two. Like List, this also just seems like a field and track he can take advantage of.

Low End Play(s):

Sepp Straka: $7,600
Straka gained 3.3 strokes on APP at the Shriners and that helped him get to a 43rd place finish. He lost almost a full stroking putting and some around the green in that evet. If he can clean that up his ball-striking should carry him to a potential top 10 finish. He has also made three of his last four cuts.

Jason Dufner: $7,100
I just can’t quit Dufner. He has missed two straight cuts. However, he is striking the ball great. He hasn’t lost OTT in five straight events. He has also gained an APP in the last two. Like every week for him, it is whether or not he can make enough putts to hang around. With this looking like it is going to be a birdie fest that is very worrisome, but I am going to follow the ball striking. If Sergio Garcia can win an event putting with his eyes closed, why can’t Dufner?

Favorite Play:

Pat Perez

Fade:

Emiliano Grillo- the prices doesn’t reflect where he usually finishes in tournaments.

Keep an eye on:

Michael Gligic- he has made 6 of his last 7 cuts and has 3 top 30’s in that time at only 6,500 dollars.

Winner:

Doc Redman

Good luck everyone and let’s hit some green screens!