Nov
10
2020

Edge Factor: The Masters DFS

It is finally here; The Masters! The pinnacle event of the PGA tour. Usually played in the Spring, COVID has forced the event to November. The storylines are abundant this week too. Tiger defends, Rory McIlroy looks to finally hit his career grand slam, Bryson DeChambeau and his transformation for this event, Brooks Koepka coming off a knee injury looks to be rounding into form, and the list goes on and on.

This is an event and course that needs little introduction; it is also an event where course history seems to matter a little more than everywhere else. The layout of the course and how the greens play take time to figure out, and once you do, you can compete here consistently it seems. It is why you see so many repeat champions.

The field is littered with past champions and all the best players in the world will be here. It is important to note this week that there are only 93 players in the field after the WDs from Sergio Garcia and Joaquin Nieman due to COVID. Also, important to note that this year the cut will be 50 players and ties. No longer the 10 stroke rule as it has been in the past.

It is generally a little easier to cut here because of the high percentage of the field that does make it. It will be a little tougher with the new rules and 6/6 in your lineup is always important.

There are a lot of tough decisions to make this week. DeChambeau is the highest priced golfer in the field and rightfully so. He is also the betting favorite, but guys like Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson, and Rory McIlroy are all right there as good plays this week. Let’s try to sort some of that out:

High-End Play(s):

Bryson DeChambeau: $11,200

He has basically admitted that his entire body transformation and work to hit the ball as far as possible was for Augusta. He is the highest-priced golfer in the field and it is certainly tough to get away from him. My lean right now is jamming in two guys in the 10k and up the range and filling out the rest of my lineup from there. Rahm is my next favorite in the range, but I don’t think I can get away from Bryson this week.

Mid Range Play(s):

Bubba Watson: $9,000

Watson has continued to strike the ball like one of the best players in the world since the restart. He is coming off two top 10 finishes in a row and has gained OTT and on APP in six straight events. He also loves The Masters’ events; he has won here twice and finished 12th and 5th here in his last two starts. You could argue he is the best play on the board.

Hideki Matsuyama: $8,700

Fresh off a 2nd place finish in Houston, Matsuyama looks to continue his hot ball striking at Augusta. He has gained OTT and APP in three straight events. He has also made five straight cuts at The Masters. His recent finishes include 32nd, 19th, and 11th.

Tony Finau: $8,800

Finau and Dustin Johnson are looking like the most popular plays of the week right now. Finau has gained OTT and on APP in three straight events. He also has a great track record at Augusta with his only two starts finishing 10th and 5th. He has a good record in general at the majors but just doesn’t seem to win. He is setting up to be a good play this week, but that is what everyone else is thinking as well.

Low End Play(s):

Jason Kokrak: $7,000

He followed up his win at the CJ Cup with a 17th at the Zozo. He is striking the ball great and is always great OTT. He is a noted bomber and I am going to lean towards the bombers. This year they are expecting a lot of rain during the event, which is going to having me leaning bombers even more.

Kokrak is a first-timer at Augusta, and as everyone knows, first-timers don’t win here. Experience counts. However, first-timers do still place well. Kokrak has the right game to have a good finish here.

Si Woo Kim: $6,800

Kim is an extremely high variant player. He can win any week and he can come in dead last any week. He has been playing more consistently as of late, however; additionally, he has played The Masters three times. He missed the cut the first time but finished inside the top 25 each of his last two. A top 20 finish at his price is exactly what you’re looking for!

Favorite Play:

Bubba Watson

Fade:

Rory McIlroy

Keep an eye on:

Adam Scott- he has made five straight cuts and loves Augusta.

Winner:

Bryson DeChambeau

Good luck everyone and let’s hit some green screens!