Nov
13
2020

Edge Factor: Week 10 NFL DFS

Some pretty notable players are either on a bye, injured, or already played this week so they are not on the main slate for DFS this week. The Kansas City Chiefs and Atlanta Falcons are on a bye, Christian McCaffrey is injured, and Derrick Henry played Thursday night. While this leaves out a lot of fantasy studs, there are still players plenty to choose from!

There are quite a few games this week with massive game totals. The Buffalo Bills and Arizona Cardinals faceoff and have the highest total on the slate at 56 points. The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks are right behind them with a 54.5 point game total. Then there are three more games with totals over 50 points. With these high totals, there are plenty of players that could potentially break the slate.

Runningbacks

Mike Davis ($4000)
Christian McCaffrey was injured in his first game back against the Kansas City Chiefs and is going to miss this week against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. There is no good reason for DK to price Davis at the stone minimum this week. The Bucs may not be a great matchup, but Davis is once again going to get all the volume. He is going to be chalky, but I am going to eat it. I don’t know how you can’t play him with the combination of his projected volume and his price tag.

Nick Chubb ($6800)
Chubb is coming off an injury but is coming back in an absolute smash spot. Houston Texans are one of the worst defenses in the NFL against the run and have given up the third-most fantasy points to running backs on the year. The Browns are also going to benefit from getting guard Wyatt Teller back from injury who was playing like the best o-lineman in the league before he was hurt.

Wide Receivers

DK Metcalf ($7600)
This is one of those huge game totals that I mentioned. Metcalf has basically proven it doesn’t matter what DB is lined up against him, he is just too much of a freak of nature to be affected by them. He is the fourth-highest projected WR on the slate and is always a threat to smash. I like pieces on the other side of this game as well in Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods.

Jerry Jeudy ($5600)
I am going to cheat here and also throw in KJ Hamler at $3800. I really like the Broncos stack against the Raiders, and I think it will be considerably less owned than a Bills and Cardinals stack (which I didn’t even mention, but love both sides). Jeudy and Hamler are projecting for a combined 5% ownership right now. The Raiders are one of the worst defenses in the league and Lock has 40 or more pass attempts in the last three games.

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson ($7700)
Right now Wilson is coming in at half the ownership of Kyler Murray and Josh Allen. He is coming off a four turnover game against the Bills, so that may keep people off him even more; I don’t care. He is throwing the ball a ton in a high game total and has been playing like one of the best QBs in the league all year. Keep cooking Russ!

Aaron Rodgers ($7900)
Rodgers is the other quarterback coming in with half the ownership of Murray and Allen. He is in a game that should be an absolute blowout against the Jaguars. He has the fourth-highest projection on the slate, and stacking him with Aaron Jones and Davante Adams will be very unique. You can then run it back with DJ Chark (who has had two big air yard games in a row) and use the Rams, Seahawks, Bills, and Cardinals pieces as one-offs.

Tight Ends

Austin Hooper ($3900)
There isn’t a real pay up option at the tight end spot this week. Hooper is finally back from injury and was on fire before he left with an injury. He is in a good matchup against the Texans who have given up the 8th most fantasy points to TEs so far this year. The way the Browns have been using their TEs he could be in line for a big day and a potential multi TD day.

Gerald Everett ($3100)
Everett is a super interesting option and can get you away from the chalky WR plays in the game. In his last four games, Everett has targets of 4, 4, 5, and 9. The Seahawks are bad on defense, especially against the pass. Everett also provides a bit of a salary save as there a lot of pay up options at WR this week.

Defense/Special Teams:

Rams ($2200)
This may seem like an odd choice as I also have Wilson don’t as a favorite play at quarterback. As I have mentioned in previous articles, points against a defense don’t really matter in DFS. What you are really looking for is pressure against the QB, that could potentially turn into sacks and turnovers. We saw last week that you can get to Wilson and cause some turnovers. This is also a massive salary saver.

Giants ($2700)
The Giants aren’t a very good team, but their defense has been sneaky OK so far this year. They are going to be lower owned as well as I think a lot of people may be on the Eagles side of this game. The Philadelphia Eagles have given up the 6th most points to fantasy defenses on the year.