NFL DFS Picks And Plays: Week Five

NFL DFS Picks And Plays: Week Five

Last week was an absolute bloodbath, but that will not deter us! Let’s get back to the grind and figure out this week five slate! If you don’t like reading, don’t worry, we have the YouTube show out already this week too. Be sure to check it out!

Quarterback

Ryan Tannehill $6,400

This Tennessee Titans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars game is an extremely interesting one. Derrick Henry is likely going to be the most popular play of the entire week. Stacking Tannehill with some of the Titan pass catchers provides a way to gain leverage on the Henry owners and differentiate your lineup. The Jacksonville defense has the 32nd ranked pass defense in the entire NFL per DVOA. That is dead last. I like this game to be a sneaky shootout.



Trevor Lawrence $5,800

On the other side of the Tannehill stacks are the Trevor Lawrence stacks, which I also like. You can create some extremely cheap stacks and bring it back with the popular Derrick Henry. As bad as the Jags defense is, the Titans defense isn’t much better. They have the 26th pass defense per DVOA. The Titans also give up the second highest yards per completion in the NFL.

Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliot $7,000

Elliot is the best running back play on the board. He is getting a ton of volume as of late and this Cowboys offensive line is getting their grove back. They completely dominated their last outing against the Panthers. This week they get a much easier matchup against the New York Giants. The Giants are 26th per DVOA against the run. I don’t mind event stacking Elliot with a couple other pieces from the Cowboys like Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb.

Damian Harris $5,500

All of the ownership in this range is going to be going to Damian Williams and Leonard Fournette. Most people will be off Harris because of his last few performances, but he continues to be the main back in the Patriots offense. He also gets a very favorable matchup against the Houston Texans. The Texans are the worst team in the NFL and the Patriots could get up on them early and just grind out the clock the rest of the way. I love this as a potential volume play and ownership discount.

Wide Receiver

AJ Brown $6,500

As of Thursday, Brown practiced fully. If he is all the way back, I love stacking him with Tannehill. He is the alpha of the Titans WR core. I already mentioned how poor the Jags defense is, so it is a great matchup. You can also run this stack back with Laviska Shenault at $4,800. He is just far too cheap. I also like stacking Shenault with Lawrence.

Adam Thielen $6,600

In general, I like most of the main pieces for the Vikings against the woeful Detroit Lions defense. This includes Dalvin Cook (check his injury status) and Justin Jefferson. Thielen provides a little bit of a price discount from the two and hasn’t huge production game yet even though he is still getting targets. In his last four games he has 10, 7, 9 and 8 targets, but hasn’t eclipsed 100 yards yet this season. I think it happens against the Lions.

Tight End

Darren Waller $7,300

There is no Travis Kelce on this slate and I think more people will gravitate to George Kittle for the price discount ($5,600). I think Waller provides a really interesting option and is clear and away the best TE option for the week. He hasn’t had less than seven targets in any game and also has a 19 target-game this year.

Defense

Find Something That Fits

This week more than any I am going to just find whatever defense fits into my lineup. If you are looking for pay down options the Washington Football Team looks like they’re going to be extremely chalky. I may pay up a little for the Cowboys who get Daniel Jones, who has player better this year, but, still has been prone to turnovers in the past. Paying all the way up for the Patriots is really interesting too. They face the Texans who are terrible and they are starting rookie QB Davis Mills. Bill Belichick eats rookie QBs for laughs.

This week is missing some of usual favorites for stacking, including, Buffalo Bills, Kansas City Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. It makes for an interesting week and it will be key to find leverage spots where you can.

My three favorite stacks are the Titans, Jaguars and Cardinals. I did not mention the Cardinals, but I really like a skinny stack with Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins this week. Mini stacks I like include Cowboys and Giants, Packers and Bengals, and Vikings and Lions (Swift or Hockenson).


Make sure you are checking out the Ballin’ Over Beers YouTube page. Every week we do a betting and DFS show. Also, follow me on Twitter @jdiz1617 and Ballin’ Over Beers: A fantasy and betting show @BallinOver.

Good luck everyone!


Justin Dueppengiesser

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