The first week of the NFL has gone as fast as it came. Hopefully, all of you out there hit some big money! I was big on Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs double stack and that worked out well. Unfortunately for me, I didn’t have the right pieces around them. This week I look to put all of the pieces together with my DFS picks and plays for week two.
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Dak Prescott $6,800
This game is going to be an extremely chalky one, but for good reason. It has the highest total on the entire slate at 55.5 points. You are going to have to find ways to differentiate in this game and I think one of the ways is going with the Cowboys stack. You need to keep an eye on ownership projections, but I think Dak is going to be lower owned than Herbert right now. In his last four starts, not counting the game he was injured in last year, Prescott has gone over 400 yards passing in every single one.
Jalen Hurts $6,500
Since taking over as the starter last year in Week 13, Hurts has seven or more carries in every single game. He has such an incredible built-in floor that he is tough to pass on at this price. Last week the 49ers’ defense gave up over 300 yards passing to Jared Goff. They also just lost starting cornerback Jason Verrett to a torn ACL. Also, hurts is coming off a three-touchdown performance last week. Hurts is in a great spot this week and has the opportunity to be a top-three fantasy scorer.
Chris Carson $6,100
Carson looked great in week one and had 19 total touches for the Seahawks. He had 16 carries and was just nine yards shy of the 100-yard mark. He also tallied three targets in the game. Rashad Penny is once again hurt in Seattle and this should solidify Carson’s workload. This week he gets the Tennessee Titans defense. The Titans looked terrible in their week one matchup against the Cardinals and the numbers reflected just that. They are currently the 7th worst defense per DVOA of the year.
Javonte Williams $4,400
If you are looking for a discount at RB, Williams is a nice option. Everyone is going to remember the long TD run by Melvin Gordon, but Williams and Gordon were a 50/50 split as far as timeshare is concerned. Both he and Gordon played exactly 33 snaps. He recorded 15 touches in those snaps. This week the Broncos play the Jaguars. What a good week to get your rookie some extra work!
CeeDee Lamb $6,400
Lamb is too cheap for the amount of volume he is seeing. His running mate, Amari Cooper, actually got a price bump this week, but Lamb’s lowered. I like both of them and will have lineups where I double stack with Prescott. Lamb had 15 targets last week and there is no reason to think that is going to be any different this week. When Prescott is healthy they are throwing early and often. Give me all the Cowboys this week.
Cooper Kupp $6,000
Speaking off too cheap, see Mr. Cooper Kupp. Kupp is coming off a ten target, 100 yards, 1 TD performance and gets the Colts defense this week. Additionally, I don’t think Head Coach Sean McVay is done showing off his toy new toy, Matt Stafford. I like the Rams options quite a bit in this game and it starts with Kupp. He is the primary pass-catching option and you can gain leverage on the field with him because it seems everyone is going to be gravitating to TE Tyler Higbee on the Rams. Higbee played every snap for the Rams offense, but I still like Kupp as the best option on the team.
Pharoah Brown $2,900
Here is your punt play of the week at TE. Brown had five targets last week against the Jaguars and if he is healthy could be a good option again this week. He did not participate in Thursday’s practice, so you are going to have to keep an eye on this. The Browns are big favorites in this matchup and if that is the case you expect the Texans to be passing more. That could lead to more targets for Brown.
George Kittle $6,400
Kittle could be a nice bring-back option if stack up the Eagles on the other side. Most of the attention is going to be going to Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel for the 49ers, but Kittle is still their best offensive weapon. The Eagles have a good front four and that could lead to more opportunities in the passing game for the 49ers receiving options. Kittle had five targets last week and is always a threat after the catch and in the redzone.
Defense/ Special Teams
Miami Dolphins $2,500
Whether Josh Allen has a good history against the Dolphins doesn’t matter. The Bills pass the ball as much as anyone in the NFL and that leads to defensive fantasy point opportunities. Also, Allen put the ball on the ground twice against the Steelers last week. Additionally, the Bills’ offensive line struggled mightily with the Steelers. Left tackle, Dion Dawkins, does not look fully recovered from COVID yet. The Dolphins also provide you great savings on the week.
This week the toughest decision comes down to what you are going to do with the Cowboys and Chargers game. It is the highest point total on the slate and is going to be extremely chalky. I am going to have stacks on both sides of that game. Ezekiel Elliot is an extremely interesting piece in that game.
He is coming off a game where he did not have many touches but played in the most difficult matchup he is going to have all year against the Bucs defense. People are going to want to play him in a bounce-back spot, but I may full-fade him and stick to the passing pieces in this matchup. Look out for Dalton Schultz as another stacking or bring-back option for the Cowboys as he had six targets in Week One.
Good luck everyone! Let’s win some money!