Picking Every Week Three NFL Game Against The Spread

Picking Every Week Three NFL Game Against The Spread

Thursday is here, so that means a whole new week of gambling on NFL games! We have been ridiculously mediocre so far, coming in at 16-16 ATS and 15-17 on the over/under. So we need a solid week to really get things rolling on the positive side. Here is every pick against the spread for Week Three of the NFL.

Odds were taken from DraftKings Sportsbook as of 9/22.



Carolina Panthers (-8) @ Houston Texans, o/u 43

Opening this week is a matchup of two of the most surprising teams so far. Houston hasn’t been terrible through two weeks, and Carolina has been GOOD to open the year. I think Houston missing Tyrod Taylor is going to be big for them. I am going to take Carolina on the road here. The pick: CAR -8, UNDER 43

Arizona Cardinals (-7) @ Jacksonville Jaguars, o/u 51.5

Another large line here. Jacksonville has been bad, but it is hard not to take a home dog getting that many points. That being said, I do not think this is a game Jacksonville should be in, and Kyler Murray is emerging as one of the early MVP front runners this year. I’m leaning ARI -7 here, but this is a great line to tease down to -3. The pick: ARI -7, UNDER 51.5

Baltimore Ravens (-9) @ Detroit Lions, o/u 49.5

Detroit started off hot against Green Bay in Week 2, then faltered down the stretch. Baltimore stumbled out of the gate against KC, then picked up steam and pulled out the win. These are two teams headed in the opposite direction, so Baltimore covering is very likely. HOWEVER, home dogs are performing very well this season. I am going to take a leap here and take DET with the points, but this one could go either way. The pick: DET +9, OVER 49.5

Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans (-5.5), o/u 48

This matchup could not come at a better time for TEN. They’re coming off of a huge come-from-behind win against Seattle last week (my Week 2 LOCK!!!), while Indy is facing questions on the availability of starting QB Carson Wentz after spraining both ankles against LA. I’m taking the Titans at home riding their momentum, while Indy spins their wheels and falls to 0-3. The pick: TEN -5.5, OVER 48

Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5), o/u 55

This is the first line that really caught my attention. Yeah, Kansas City is the team to beat in the AFC (even after losing in BAL last week), but 6.5 against a good Chargers team is a lot. I don’t know that I expect KC to lose, but I don’t see this being a blowout either. MY money will be riding LA getting the points. The pick: LAC +6.5, OVER 55

Washington Football Team @ Buffalo Bills (-7.5), o/u 45

Another line that is just too long for me here. Buffalo is good, no doubt, but Washington’s defense is good enough to keep this game close. I expect Buffalo to win a close one that stays below 45. The pick: WAS +7.5, UNDER 45

Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns (-7), o/u 45.5

If you cannot already tell, I really hate these seven-point lines. This game is even more difficult to predict, with Justin Fields making his first career start on the road. I rode CLE as a huge favorite last week and lost, but the unknown in CHI makes it impossible to bet on them. Taking CLE at home, but I am not in love with it. The pick: CLE -7, UNDER 45.5

New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots (-2.5), o/u 42

Will the real New Orleans Saints please stand up? I cannot get a read on them either way right now. They looked like world-beaters in Week 1 against GB, then completely outmatched against CAR in Week 2. Meanwhile, New England just keeps doing what they do, playing good defense, running the football, and pounding you into the dirt for an ugly win. I am riding with NE again this week in another “three yards and a cloud of dust” game. The pick: NE -2.5, UNDER 42

Atlanta Falcons @ New York Giants (-3), o/u 47.5

Daniel Jones looks like a superstar any time he plays WAS, much like he did last week. Now it is time for the inevitable letdown game. As bad as they have been through two games, I am taking the Falcons to go into NY and steal this one against the G-men. The pick: ATL +3, UNDER 47.5

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-3), o/u 44.5

Talk about a letdown of a game for both of these teams last week. Coming off of big-time wins in Week 1, both teams dropped the ball last Sunday. TJ Watt being banged up makes me think twice about Pittsburgh going into this week. I’m going to take PIT, mostly based on home-field advantage, but it is another one that I could see going either way. The pick: PIT -3, OVER 44.5

Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders (-4), o/u 45

I think Tua time in Miami is running out quickly. He did not really impress in Week 1, and then a rib injury knocked him out early against the Bills. He just has not shown a lot in his entire tenure to this point. Juxtapose that with his QB counterpart Derek Carr leading the NFL in passing through two weeks, and this game is just too easy. The pick: LAV -4, UNDER 45

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos (-10.5), o/u 41

Speaking of young QBs not impressing, welcome in Zach Wilson! Woof, what a bad game in Week 2, and the defense he is facing this week is right on that same level. I would expect his struggles to continue against a Broncos team that has looked very impressive through two weeks. I hate lines this long, but it is justified here. The pick: DEN -10.5, OVER 41

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1) at Los Angeles Rams, o/u 55

Can someone please explain how this line is -1? I know LAR is the hot team in the media right now, and they have looked pretty solid through two weeks. But y’all, Tompa Bay is on a warpath. The amount of weapons they have is insane, as is their ability to expose matchups and beat you in every way possible. Give me TB to win here in a high-scoring affair as my LOCK OF THE WEEK. The pick: TB -1, OVER 55

Seattle Seahawks (-1.5) at Minnesota Vikings, o/u 55.5

Another line that is just too easy here. Seattle is coming off of blowing a 15-point halftime lead at home, mostly because they took their foot off of the gas. I do not expect the same mistake twice. I cannot see Minnesota scoring enough to keep up with Seattle in this one. The pick: SEA -1.5, OVER 55.5

Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5), o/u 50

It is good to see Aaron Rodgers and company show everyone they need to relax after their Week 1 dud. They are still a top-tier NFC team. This is why the 49ers being the favorite here does not make sense to me. I really like a lot of what SF has going on, but they are not the better team here. Always take Aaron Rodgers getting points, folks. This is not hard. The pick: GB +3.5, OVER 50

Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3.5), o/u 52

What a clunker by PHI in Week 2, man. I was really starting to buy into the hype up there in the first half. Then the second half rolled around, and it got ugly. Meanwhile, DAL pulled off a solid win against a quality Chargers squad. I’m going to take DAL here, the opportunity for them to beat a division opponent is just too much for them to miss. The pick: DAL -3.5, OVER 52

A hot streak is coming folks! I can’t stay at .500 forever. Hop on my lock of the week for sure, and give me a shout on Twitter and let me know any of my other picks you trail!

YTD: ATS 16-16, O/U 15-17, LOCK OF THE WEEK 1-1

Bets are not financial advice, bet at your own risk.

Jacob Noah

Lifelong Tennessee resident and sports fan. Husband, father to 2 boys, complete Marvel nerd and avid sports junkie. Titans, Vols, Braves and Knicks are the teams I follow the closest.

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