Pick 1. Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB
I don’t need to explain this one. Trevor Lawrence is considered the best QB prospect since Andrew Luck & the Jaguars need a franchise QB.
Pick 2. Jets: Zach Wilson, QB
After trading Sam Darnold to the Panthers, it’s obvious they’re going QB, and I think they’re going Zach Wilson here. The draft starts at pick number three.
Pick 3. 49ers: Justin Fields, QB
Ian Rapoport has reported that the 49ers are reportedly “closing in” on Mac Jones and Trey Lance at three in the draft. Call me stubborn, but I don’t see how the pick isn’t Justin Fields. The Shanahan’s run a QB camp called QB collective. Look who’s on the front page of the camp’s website… the Shanahan’s and Fields are familiar with each other, as I think the Mac Jones and Trey Lance deal is just a big smokescreen.
The Shanahan family also has experience with mobile quarterbacks with big arms. Mike Shanahan coached John Elway, and both Mike and Kyle were in Washington when they traded up for RG3, another mobile QB with a good arm. They have a type, and it’s not Mac Jones. Fields is the better prospect in my eyes and the pick.
Pick 4. Falcons: Trey Lance, QB
Adam Schefter reported that the Falcons have had discussions with teams over the rights to pick four overall, but I predict nothing happens in that front and that they keep the pick. So who will they pick? Atlanta still has Matt Ryan, but not forever as he’s getting older and they probably won’t be picking this high in the draft shortly, making them select Lance and get their future franchise QB pick number four.
Pick 5. Bengals: Ja’Marr Chase, WR
Yes, I know they SHOULD draft Penei Sewell, but this OL draft class is the deepest we’ve seen in a while, AND they did just sign Riley Reiff to be a veteran stop-gap option at the tackle position. Not the sexiest of moves, but they did address the position already. Reuniting Chase with Burrow keeps their QB happy and gives them a true number one option at WR since Green is now an Arizona Cardinal and Tyler Boyd is a slot receiver.
Pick 6. Dolphins: Kyle Pitts, TE
But.. But… they have Mike Gesicki! Who cares. Kyle Pitts is the most dynamic pass-catching weapon in the draft, and the Dolphins need to add weapons for Tua to throw to.
Pick 7. Chargers: Penei Sewell, OT
The Lions have the Rams 1st round pick next year and the year after and is in the middle of a rebuild. Trading down to 13 gives them a shot still at one of the Alabama receivers, and gives them added draft capital. A win-win. The Chargers’ number one priority is protecting Justin Herbert, so they stop Sewell’s draft-day slide and reunites the two Oregon Ducks together. They’re aggressive in moving up to 7 to get ahead of Carolina & Dallas for Sewell.
Pick 8. Panthers: Rashawn Slater, OT
After trading for Sam Darnold and addressing the QB position, the Panthers’ next best option is drafting Slater & protecting their brand new QB. Ever since Jordan Gross retired seven years ago, there have been TEN different left tackles start for the Carolina Panthers. Slater will hopefully bring stability to the position.
Pick 9. Bears: Mac Jones, QB
Chicago trades up with Denver to get them a Quarterback. This deal will be similar to the Steelers & Broncos trade in 2019, where Pittsburgh traded pick 20, their 2nd round pick, and then the 2020 3rd round pick to Denver to select Devin Bush pick 10. However, this time the move up is for a Quarterback, and one selection higher than the 2019 draft night trade I alluded to earlier so it will cost more than that for Chicago to get Jones, especially considering Chicago knows Denver has been rumored to be looking to improve their QB situation. Chicago will trade pick 20, 52, and next year 1st round pick to Denver for the rights to draft Mac Jones.
Pick 10. Cowboys: Jaycee Horn, CB
The son of four-time pro bowl WR Joe Horn, Jaycee got his size and athleticism from his father. Besides signing Dak Prescott, Dallas hasn’t done much in free agency with their other notable signings being: Keanu Neal, Damontae Kazee, Tarell Basham & Brent Urban. Cornerback wasn’t addressed for a reason…
After losing Chidobe Awuzie this offseason, pairing Horn with Trevon Diggs will create a young, and exciting cornerback duo.
Pick 11. Giants: Jaelan Phillips, EDGE
After addressing the WR position this summer with Kenny Golladay, finding their CB2 with Adoree Jackson, and the top two offensive linemen already off the board in Sewell & Slater, the next biggest need for the Giants to address is a stronger presence on the edge.
If we were simply basing this pick on just skill and upside, the former number one overall high school prospect in Phillips wouldn’t be here at 11 for New York, but the injury concerns are there, however, as he has already previously retired from football once before due to concussions. There’s a risk here with this selection, but if Phillips stays healthy this could be a massive draft day steal.
Pick 12. Eagles: Jaylen Waddle, WR
The Eagles showed their hand by trading down IMMEDIATELY after the 49ers moved up to pick 3. The Eagles were targeting a quarterback but felt they wouldn’t have a shot at their guy with the 49ers moving to three so they backed out. What happened to Eagles owner Jeffrey Lurie saying he wants Jalen Hurts to be the “guy” next season and have no QB competition? What happened to do everything to make sure Hurts is successful?
Two words: “Smokescreen”. They make it up to Hurts by staying true to their word, however, by selecting Waddle, but did a bad job of showing their hand in this one to me.
Pick 13. Lions: Devonta Smith, WR
The Lions traded down to 13, but still land a Kenny Golladay replacement with this year’s Heisman award winner. Much has been said about Smith’s size, but the man won the Heisman for a reason. He can flat out play the game of football. And do it really well.
Pick 14. Vikings: Alijah Vera Tucker, OL
With Riley Rieff now in Cincinnati, Minnesota needs added depth along the line, Ezra Cleveland, their current right guard is believed to fill in at Left Tackle. Alijah Vera Tucker who had starting experience at guard and left tackle in college reminds me of Jonah Williams, who was drafted 11th overall in 2019. Jonah Stands at 6’4” 304 pounds with 33 5/8th inch arm length running a 5.12 40 yard dash.
Vera-Tucker has a 6’4” 315-pound frame with 32 1/8th inch arms while also running a 5.10 second 40. Both are capable at either guard or tackle, but like Williams, AVT is better suited as a guard, a need for Minnesota along the line.
Pick 15. Patriots: Patrick Surtain II, CB
The Patriots are in a position to potentially lose both of their outside corners as Stephon Gilmore and JC Jackson are both unrestricted free agents next offseason. Patrick Surtain offers big-time value here at pick 15 and helps their cornerback depth.
Pick 16. Cardinals: Greg Newsome, CB
After losing Patrick Peterson Arizona selects the fast-rising Newsome (4.38 40 on his pro day) to replace him. Caleb Farley’s injury concerns and no tape on him last season allows for him to get passed up as a top-three corner in this draft.
Pick 17. Raiders: Teven Jenkins, OT
The Raiders created a need they didn’t have when the offseason began, as they traded Trent Brown to the Patriots, Rodney Hudson to Arizona and Gabe Jackson to Seattle. They retained Denzelle Good & Richie Incognito, but they still need to address their OL early on in the draft. Teven Jenkins is a big tackle with a nice mean streak and edge to him out of Oklahoma State and should fill in nicely at right tackle.
Pick 18. Ravens: Kwity Paye, EDGE
Trading away Orlando Brown Jr. to Kansas City, while receiving the Chiefs first-round pick this year in the process led me to ask: “With two late first-round picks, will Baltimore trade up?” With Miami having two first-round picks as well, I viewed them as perfect trade partners, as they’re also a team that’s heavily rumored to trade down again and collect more assets for their rebuild.
Baltimore, who lost Matt Judon and Yannick Ngakoue this offseason, will trade picks 27, and next year 2nd round pick for pick 18. Miami stays in the first round and gains an extra 2nd round pick. Baltimore traded up for Kwity Paye and his high motor to hopefully help with their pass rush losses.
Pick 19. Washington: Christian Darrisaw, OT
One of Washington’s biggest needs is at the Left Tackle position. Geron Christian and Cornelius Lucas didn’t play well last season & Saahdiq Charles was hurt all of last year. Darrisaw projects to be a franchise Left Tackle if he can learn to be more physical at the point of attack.
Pick 20. Broncos: Micah Parsons, LB
Call me crazy, but I’m fully expecting a draft-day slide from Parsons due to some off-field character concerns. Some mocks have Denver picking him 9th overall, but I believe they can trade down with a QB needy team and still land him later. (I think some in the organization want to be patient with Lock, like how Buffalo was with Josh Allen, as Lock has similar traits) Parsons fits in well in Vic Fangio’s defense next to Von Miller, and when it’s Miller’s time to leave, he can step in and lead the defense.
Parsons talent suggests he should’ve been gone a long time ago. A big-time value here.
Pick 21. Colts: Gregory Rousseau, DL
What we know for sure is that Indianapolis is getting a lineman on either the offensive or defensive side. With five offensive line prospects drafted, they elect to get Rousseau, whose draft stock has cooled off during the draft process due to only one year of production and opting out last season. However, his agent has come out and has said multiple teams have told him if he’s available when they pick round one that they’ll take him, and I have to imagine Indy is one of those teams.
Pick 22. Titans: Azeez Ojulari, EDGE
Only ahead of Cincinnati & Jacksonville in sacks last year with 19, the Titans needs to focus on getting pass rush help, especially with the team losing Jadeveon Clowney to the Cleveland Browns. Ojulari’s 91.7 pass-rush grade was 2nd in college football last year. The athletic freak fits perfectly in the Titans 3-4 scheme.
Pick 23. Jets: Najee Harris, RB
Can we put the “RB’s don’t go round one” myth to bed yet? There has been one drafted in the first round each of the last six years, and EIGHT took in the last ten. With Right Tackle target Teven Jenkins off the board, the Jets, whose starting running back is Teven Coleman at this current junction, decide to surround their 2nd overall pick rookie quarterback with a weapon he can hand the ball off to.
Pick 23 should be made with Zach Wilson in mind. How can they help Zach Wilson? A three-down RB to take the load/pressure off is a good start.
Pick 24. Steelers: Caleb Farley, CB
Farley’s draft-day slide comes to a stop here at 24, and for Pittsburgh, this is a perfect scenario, as, after the loss of Mike Hilton this offseason, they needed to address the cornerback position in the draft, with that, along with OL & RB being the teams biggest needs. Farley’s talent and upside make this one easy, and worth the risk.
Pick 25. Jaguars: Christian Barmore, DL
Gone are the days of Sacksonville, as the Jaguars have needs all along their defensive line. Urban Meyer has said he wants to build in the trenches, and Barmore, who had 8 sacks last year offers great potential to be a huge presence on the interior.
Pick 26. Browns: Jamin Davis, LB
Meet the fastest rising defensive player in the draft process. Every year a player goes in the first round unexpectedly which makes people go “What?!” And Davis could be that guy. With the top four corners off the board and Cleveland addressing the defensive end and safety positions in free agency with John Johnson III & Jadeveon Clowney, their next best bet is getting a potential three-down linebacker to play behind Garrett & Clowney to make plays.
Standing in at 6’4 234 pounds with a RAS score of 9.93, Davis is an athletic freak of nature. Further proof of that athleticism is his 4.48 40 yard dash time and his 42 inch vertical. Davis is the perfect sideline to sideline rangy playmaker teams are looking for.
Pick 27. Dolphins: Jayson Oweh, EDGE
With the signing of Will Fuller, one could argue that an edge rusher is legitimately the Dolphins’ biggest need. Oweh is a toolsy pass-rush prospect that had zero sacks last season, but at 6’5 257 pounds and running a 4.36 40 yard dash, he offers one of the highest upsides of the whole draft. Miami turns pick 18 into Oweh, and a future 2nd round pick.
Pick 28. Saints: Eric Stokes, CB
After the free agency period, the biggest question remains “Who will start alongside Marshon Lattimore?” With Janoris Jenkins gone, the Saints are without a true CB2, but incomes Stokes who ran a 4.29 40 on his pro day. The Georgia product is one of the fastest (literally) risers before draft day, & with the Saints, a huge need at corner could be selected here.
Pick 29. Packers: Creed Humphrey, C
Packers GM Brian Gutekunst has recently come out and said that Aaron Rogers is their guy for the foreseeable future. With that being said, and first-team All-Pro center Corey Linsley signing elsewhere this offseason, the Packers’ biggest focus is protecting their veteran quarterback.
They can draft an offensive tackle to help out with depth, but Creed Humphrey is not only the best center in the draft but also is the best offensive line prospect available. He will be able to start year one and help protect Aaron Rogers, but will also allow freshly paid running back Aaron Jones to also have success on the ground.
Pick 30. Bills: Joe Tyron, EDGE
The Bills lost Trent Murphy and Quinton Jefferson this offseason, and starters Jerry Hughes and Mario Addison are 33 and 34 and both have one year left on their deals. The Bills need to address the edge rusher position and select a player who can be a situational pass rusher year one that can develop and be ready to take over in 2022. Joe Tyron is that exact prospect. Checks all the boxes from physicality and athletic standpoint, but needs to develop more after opting out last season. Especially as a run defender.
Pick 31. Ravens: Liam Eichenberg, OT
Baltimore traded Orlando Brown Jr. and got the Chiefs’ first-round draft pick in the process, so they’ll use that draft pick to draft his replacement. Eichenberg hasn’t allowed a sack since 2018 and is the most NFL-ready tackle left out of the remaining prospects, as he’s considered a day one plug-and-play starter. Something Baltimore needs.
A three-year starter at left tackle in college, he will probably be asked to play on the right side to start his career in Baltimore considering their need at the position, and his limitations as an athlete. He has average slide quickness and inconsistencies in pass protection, as he’s a better run blocker than pass blocker to date.
Pick 32. Buccaneers: Joseph Ossai, EDGE
The Buccaneers are returning most of their starters from their Super Bowl run but will need to address their depth all along the offensive & defensive line in the draft. Ossai is an intriguing outside linebacker prospect with 4.40 wheels whose speed will fit in well alongside Devin White. Shaq Barrett got signed to a long-term deal, but Jason Pierre Paul is 32 years old, on the last year of his deal, and has dealt with nagging injuries.