It’s that time of year again. Time for speculating and hot takes and just throwing out all kinds of attention-grabbing headlines as to where the top ten free agents may land.
Some have a little bit of truth to them. However most do not.
Everyone is speculating where the top free against will end up. The Patriots need wide receivers. So that must mean that Chris Godwin and Kenny Golladay will sign with the Patriots. The Patriots will instantly be transformed into a winner in 2021.
Not so fast.
Most of these free agents will re-sign with the teams they played on last season. Players get also get slapped with the franchise tag. The franchise tag will give teams time to negotiate a new contract with the player.
Here are the top-ten free agents this off-season and where they may end up playing in 2021.
—Dak Prescott, Quarterback, Dallas Cowboys
This circus has been going on too long. If the Cowboys are to be serious contenders, they need to find a way to re-sign Prescott.
Two things are going to happen with Prescott. The Cowboys will franchise him for the second year in a row at 37.7 Million AVV. Or the Cowboys could sign him to a new contract that could be a record-breaking deal.
Prescott will get close to Patrick Mahomes’ money when he signs a new deal. A four-year deal just under 40 million dollars a season.
Clearly, it’s time for Jerry Jones to pay the man. Or you can have Andy Dalton as your quarterback and miss the playoffs.
—Chris Godwin, Wide Receiver, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Everybody calm down because Chris Godwin is not going anywhere. The Bucs would be foolish to let Godwin walk away. Godwin had more drops in the playoff game against Washington than he has had his entire career.
The Bucs will put the franchise tag on Godwin for this season. The Bucs will eventually sign Godwin to a new contract. This will make Godwin one of the highest receivers in the game at 20 million-plus a season.
—Allen Robinson, Wide Receiver, Chicago Bears
Robinson has had to work with Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky as his quarterbacks in Chicago and is still one of the top receivers in football.
The Bears obviously want to bring Robinson back. But his projected salary of 18 million per year and the Bears being right up against the salary cap could be a problem for that scenario.
New England, Miami, or Philadelphia would make the most sense for Robinson, as all three need a quality receiver. If I’m Robinson, I’m heading to Miami, where the weather is warm year-round, and I have Tua Tagovailoa as my quarterback.
—Trent Williams, Tackle, San Francisco 49ers
Williams is a high-energy player that brings that energy to every play. Williams is outstanding at run blocking, and pass blocking and also excels in his downfield blocking.
He never takes a play-off. He sat out the 2019 season in a contract dispute with Washington before signing with San Francisco for the 2020 season.
Look for the 49ers to resign the All-Pro, as they try to keep their key players together for another championship run.
—Kenny Golladay, Wide Receiver, Detroit Lions
Golladay battled injuries in 2020, but when healthy, he is a top receiver in the NFL.
The Lions would be smart to re-sign Golladay to give their new quarterback Jared Goff a big athletic target to throw to.
The New York Giants are this week’s flavor of the week for Golladay, but I think the Lions will franchise him this off-season and then, at some point, hammer out a new contract.
Golladay is too good of a receiver just to let him walk away. At the end of the day, the Lions will re-sign Golladay.
—Brandon Scherff, Guard, Washington Football Team
One of the best guards in the NFL, Scherf will command 15 million dollars a year if Washington were to franchise him.
I can’t see Washington letting him walk. Scherff has been a reliable and consistent player on the offensive line in his career and has started every game the last two seasons.
Although the Washington Football team made the playoffs last season, this team is still rebuilding, and Scherff needs to be a part of the rebuild.
Washington will eventually come to terms with Scherff on a new contract that keeps him in DC.
—Justin Simmons, Safety, Denver Broncos.
Not only is Simmons the heart and soul of the Broncos secondary, but he is also one of the top safeties in the game.
Simmons is one of those defensive backs that is excellent against the run and a great pass defender.
Vic Fangio and the Broncos front office aren’t going to let Simmons go anywhere. Simmons is too much of an impact player on that defense.
The Broncos will re-sign Simmons, and he stays in Denver.
–Lavonte David, Linebacker, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
David is the longest-tenured Buccaneer. The Buccaneers drafted David out of Nebraska in 2012. If David had played in any other market, they would have his bust made for the Hall of Fame, and he would be getting fitted for his gold jacket.
He plays in Tampa, so he gets zero respect from the national media. Those of us who have watched David over his career in Tampa have an appreciation for his talents and know-how good he is.
The Bucs will find a way to keep David. He is a leader in the locker room, on the field, and in the community. The Bucs will sign David to a new contract in the 12-14 million per year range.
—Anthony Harris, Safety, Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings are in a tough spot. They are up against the cap and may have to decide whether to re-sign Harris or Harrison Smith, another good defender who is entering the final year of his contract.
Harris has worked hard and improved every year and put himself in a position to earn a big payday as one of the top five safeties in football.
The Vikings will move on from Harris. The Vikings cannot afford to spend big money on two safeties (Harris and Smith) when there are many other needs on the team.
Smith will get a deal in the 13-15 million dollar a year range. Cleveland may be a good fit for Harris.
—Leonard Williams, Defensive Linemen, New York Giants
The Giants have already franchised Williams once, and a second franchise tag would cost the team 19 million.
Joe Judge has changed New York culture, and Williams has been part of that culture change. The Giants cannot afford to let Williams walk.
He will be one of the top defensive players sought after when free agency opens, and the Giants need to be in the mix to re-sign Williams.
If the Giants blink and Williams walks, Dallas, Seattle, and Cleveland could be in the hunt for Williams.